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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 14:07:30 GMT -5
Pitching wins championships in baseball. Period, end of. Luck combined with who’s hot (and who’s not) wins short postseason series in MLB. Talent rarely fully surfaces over a small sample size. |
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 14:10:44 GMT -5
Pitching wins championships in baseball. Period, end of. Luck combined with who’s hot (and who’s not) wins short postseason series in MLB. Talent rarely fully surfaces over a small sample size. Show me the last 5 teams that won the World Series when the opposing team had better pitching. There is no such thing as luck. |
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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 14:19:27 GMT -5
Luck combined with who’s hot (and who’s not) wins short postseason series in MLB. Talent rarely fully surfaces over a small sample size. Show me the last 5 teams that won the World Series when the opposing team had better pitching. There is no such thing as luck. How do you define better pitching? Do you mean the team with the better pitching staff over the 162 games and earlier rounds of playoffs, pre-WS? Or do you mean the team that had the better pitching numbers during the WS? Of course, if it’s the latter, odds heavily favor the team with the better pitching results in a best-of-seven series. But I’ve followed teams in my life that got outpitched in World Series but won them. These are teams that won all the one-run games but got blown out in the losses. Luck is a huge factor in any short series in baseball. That’s why they play 162 games a season, aside from the money from ticket sales. A long season is needed to separate the contenders from pretenders, and the luck tends to even out over a long six month season. What’s crazy about MLB is that they run a marathon of thirty teams to determine which twelve teams get to participate in a series of sprints. Which is why so many 100+ win regular season teams have failed to win the championship, especially in this era of expanded playoffs. Luck is very much in play. |
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 14:22:51 GMT -5
Show me the last 5 teams that won the World Series when the opposing team had better pitching. There is no such thing as luck. How do you define better pitching? Do you mean the team with the better pitching staff over the 162 games and earlier rounds of playoffs, pre-WS? Or do you mean the team that had the better pitching numbers during the WS? Of course, if it’s the latter, odds heavily favor the team with the better pitching results in a best-of-seven series. But I’ve followed teams in my life that got outpitched in World Series but won them. These are teams that won all the one-run games but got blown out in the losses. Luck is a huge factor in any short series in baseball. That’s why they play 162 games a season, aside from the money from ticket sales. A long season is needed to separate the contenders from pretenders, and the luck tends to even out over a long six month season. What’s crazy about MLB is that they run a marathon of thirty teams to determine which twelve teams get to participate in a series of sprints. Which is why so many 100+ win regular season teams have failed to win the championship, especially in this era of expanded playoffs. Luck is very much in play. Only 6% of World Series winners had below average pitching and only 22% of World Series winners relied more on their hitting than their pitching, and most of those also had good pitching; it's just that their hitting was historically good too. For the Rockies to win a World Series throwing up 4 guys with career losing records and ERAs in the neighborhood of 5 would've been astronomically unlikely. |
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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 14:26:41 GMT -5
How do you define better pitching? Do you mean the team with the better pitching staff over the 162 games and earlier rounds of playoffs, pre-WS? Or do you mean the team that had the better pitching numbers during the WS? Of course, if it’s the latter, odds heavily favor the team with the better pitching results in a best-of-seven series. But I’ve followed teams in my life that got outpitched in World Series but won them. These are teams that won all the one-run games but got blown out in the losses. Luck is a huge factor in any short series in baseball. That’s why they play 162 games a season, aside from the money from ticket sales. A long season is needed to separate the contenders from pretenders, and the luck tends to even out over a long six month season. What’s crazy about MLB is that they run a marathon of thirty teams to determine which twelve teams get to participate in a series of sprints. Which is why so many 100+ win regular season teams have failed to win the championship, especially in this era of expanded playoffs. Luck is very much in play. Only 6% of World Series winners had below average pitching and only 22% of World Series winners relied more on their hitting than their pitching, and most of those also had good pitching; it's just that their hitting was historically good too. For the Rockies to win a World Series throwing up 4 guys with career losing records and ERAs in the neighborhood of 5 would've been astronomically unlikely. Want me to post links of all the Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus articles that echo exactly what I’m saying? Of course, teams with the best pitching will tend to make the postseason. Once in the field of 12, the tournament is a crapshoot and a contest or who’s hottest and who has the most clutch plays (on offense, defense, or pitching). Unlike basketball, baseball can’t be predicted so easily over short postseasons. |
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 19:12:43 GMT -5
go heats
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 19:33:24 GMT -5
Tatum with white tape on his left wrist and black tape on his left hand.
EDIT:
and now he has rolled his left ankle, seems to be okay but it looks like it hurts
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Post by JB on May 29, 2023 19:38:33 GMT -5
both teams look physically and mentally spent.
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 19:39:57 GMT -5
both teams look physically and mentally spent. also they suck and their fans are dumb and ugly |
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Post by JB on May 29, 2023 19:42:06 GMT -5
if Caleb doesn't have it tonight, Slippin Jimmy has to step up.
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 19:44:40 GMT -5
The Heat should try scoring.
They've already tried not scoring and the strategy doesn't seem to be helpful.
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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 19:47:38 GMT -5
Both teams look like they are in quadruple overtime period. Awful.
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Post by jimijam28 on May 29, 2023 19:48:32 GMT -5
Both teams suck
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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 19:49:15 GMT -5
Miami is losing the 50/50 balls, can’t grab rebounds, can’t score inside. Don’t see this being close at the end.
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Post by passtheballquick on May 29, 2023 19:50:44 GMT -5
Miami can't do anything but still up by 3
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 19:50:47 GMT -5
The Heat had 2 play-in games and this is their 18th playoff game. This is Boston's 20th playoff game. Vincent, Brogdon, and Tatum at minimum are playing through injuries. |
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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 19:54:48 GMT -5
The Heat had 2 play-in games and this is their 18th playoff game. This is Boston's 20th playoff game. Vincent, Brogdon, and Tatum at minimum are playing through injuries. Is Brogdon playing at all tonight? |
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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 19:55:30 GMT -5
I guess Brogdon is playing, lol.
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Post by famicommander on May 29, 2023 19:55:30 GMT -5
The Heat had 2 play-in games and this is their 18th playoff game. This is Boston's 20th playoff game. Vincent, Brogdon, and Tatum at minimum are playing through injuries. Is Brogdon playing at all tonight? Yes, but he came up like 5 feet short on an airball 3 attempt for his only FG. |
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Post by GBG on May 29, 2023 19:57:41 GMT -5
The lack of D rebounding by Miami reminds me of that DAJ sequence when he gave Boston five possessions one time.
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